Long Range Trajectory Validation Kestrel Elite

Trajectory Validation: Ten Steps for Success

Trajectory validation is the final step for building confidence in a long range precision rifle. Also known as drop truing, it’s the process of tuning a ballistic solver to a scope, rifle, and its ammunition. Its sole purpose is to allow a cold bore, first round hit on a target.

As I was swinging my Kestrel Elite in the air to clear the temp sensor wire, I knew I was going to score a hit on the rock 1809 yards away. An hour before, I’d logged first-round hits on rocks at 490, 1001, and 1147 yards. Not just hits, either. Center-of-the-rock hits. The kind of hits that make you feel good. Three shots from the 300 WM later, I decided the wind would be the winner today. I just couldn’t time the three-second flight of the bullet to coincide with the surge up the canyon. They all hugged the right side of the rock, landing in a sub-MOA group with a perfect elevation correction. A good spotter is worth more than the best trigger-puller in conditions like that. I knew the solver was giving me good corrections, though, and that’s what I was after.

With two rifle projects running simultaneously, trajectory validation is something that’s been keeping me busy. I’ve fired enough shots from both of them now to have complete confidence in my ballistic solvers for any shot my rifles are capable of.

How to make a ballistic solver match up to what the actual long range drops are is always in the top three of questions I get about long range shooting. Here are ten things I do to make it work every time:

Perfect Zero for Trajectory Validation

A perfect, repeatable zero is crucial for trajectory validation.

  1. Zero the rifle perfectly.

This is the number one mistake I see shooters make. A perfect, repeatable zero is absolutely essential to hassle-free trajectory validation. It’s the foundation that all other corrections are built on. It’s worth saying again—not only does the zero need to be perfect, it needs to be repeatable. If your scope won’t hold a zero, you need to isolate why and fix it. I use a 100 yard zero to minimize environmental factors affecting the bullet and check it regularly.

Testing velocity with a MagnetoSpeed chronograph for trajectory validation.

Testing 260 Terminator velocity with a MagnetoSpeed chronograph.

  1. Use an accurate chronograph to measure muzzle velocity.

There seems to be a trend of shooting to a measured distance and using the actual bullet drop to estimate muzzle velocity. It’s certainly a quick way to find a velocity number to plug into the program, but it doesn’t necessarily tell us what the true muzzle velocity is. What if the muzzle velocity is different on a cold bore shot, or fluctuates with temperature swings? How do we determine our ammo’s Extreme Spread (ES) or Standard Deviation (SD)? What if you change the load, or your barrel speeds up or slows down? I will also add that if you don’t know what the true muzzle velocity is, you can’t know why your drops don’t match your ballistic solver’s corrections.

These variables are much easier to measure and account for with a chronograph than shooting at distance. I own an Oehler 35 and a second-generation MagnetoSpeed. I trust both of them, but have been using the MG a lot lately because of its convenience. I highly recommend it.

Xtreme Hardcore Gear Recon Rings

Xtreme Hardcore Gear Recon Rings have a built-in level to eliminate canting.

  1. Make sure your scope’s turrets travel the correct amount and use a scope level to avoid canting.

Plumb the vertical stadia of the crosshair to a scope level, and do a tall target test to check the scope’s travel up and down as you dial the turrets. Do this at the same distance your rifle is zeroed and be sure it returns to zero when done. What you’re looking for is the amount of travel the turrets provide for any given correction. If you dial up 20 MOA but the impact only changes 19.5 MOA, you need to know that before trying to validate and see if you can fix it. Canting the rifle can cause that, as can a faulty scope.

This is the number one reason I recommend Nightforce NXS and ATACR scopes. I have never had one not dial the correct amount and they always return to zero. Period.

  1. Use an accurate bullet Ballistic Coefficient (B.C.)

Bullet manufacturers are getting better at providing accurate B.C.s, but it still doesn’t seem to be an exact science. In my experience, they’ve been accurate enough for long range hunting distances. The recommended drag model is G7, but I’ve had good luck with G1 as well. I’ve never used a custom drag curve, but they’re available if you use Applied Ballistics.

Before you mess with adjusting B.C.s, make sure your zero is perfect, muzzle velocity is accurate, and environmental conditions are entered correctly. I’ve used Berger, Hornady, and Sierra match bullets out to 2000 yards and can’t remember adjusting the advertised B.C. for any of them. Unless you’re shooting to distances that require drop scale factoring, stepped B.C.s, or other advanced tuning, adjusting the muzzle velocity input is the way to go.

Trajectory validation with a Kestrel 5700 Elite weather meter.

Know your conditions during trajectory validation.

  1. Remove as many variables as possible.

Trajectory validation in hard to read conditions is just asking for trouble. The wind can have an elevation effect as well as left or right. Steep hillsides that face into a brisk crosswind can have a dramatic influence on bullet lift. Some ballistic programs account for crosswind jump, but most don’t. I like to true drops during the calmest conditions possible.

Just like this shouldn’t be a time for big wind practice, don’t try new positions during trajectory validation. Use a solid prone position and make it as easy as possible to make that perfect shot.

  1. Don’t try to validate in heavy mirage.

Sooner or later, you’re going to be faced with shooting through a boiling sight picture, but attempting it during trajectory validation is pure folly. Mirage changes our perception of where the crosshairs lie in relation to the target. I don’t try to zero or validate drops with heavy mirage. Early mornings, late evenings, or overcast days are best. They also tend to be the calmest times to shoot.

Accuracy 1st Whiz Wheel

Accuracy 1st Whiz Wheel analog ballistic solver.

  1. Master the operation of your ballistic solver and use accurate environmental inputs during trajectory validation.

Spend some time with your ballistic solver before validating drops to be sure you understand how it works. Some solvers are more complicated than others and options for trajectory calculations can vary. Study up on Coriolis and spin drift and how they affect long range bullet flight. As usual, the longer the distance the more these things matter.

Station pressure, temperature, and humidity should be measured carefully. I will concede that small discrepancies for most shots don’t matter, but because we’re checking our trajectory toward or in the transonic area of the bullet’s travel, even the smallest variables can make a difference. Use a Kestrel weather meter to measure these inputs precisely during trajectory validation.

  1. Trajectory validation should be done at a distance that makes sense.

Validating at short distances won’t always work for shooting long distances. Ideally, you would check the trajectory to the distance where the bullet’s velocity is transonic. I start validation at 700 yards and gradually extend that range to 1800 yards or more. I don’t hunt at extreme distance, but I validate for it and practice as far as my equipment will let me. Get out there and stretch its legs. It will make the closer shots seem easier if you work on the longer ones.

300 Win Mag trajectory validation.

Jake Millard with a pair of shots he took with a 300 Win Mag at 1682 yards. Elevation was perfect.

  1. Be realistic with your accuracy expectations.

Get all of the bugs worked out of your long range load before you start validating. To save time, I’ve tested the long range accuracy of a load while also doing initial trajectory validation, but it can be frustrating if the load doesn’t work as well for long range as it did for short range.

It takes a lot of precision for a rifle and ammunition combination to consistently hit small targets at any distance, but the further away the target is, the more that precision matters. When you factor in the accuracy of the optical system, the shooter, and reading conditions, that precision might suffer a little. It’s been my experience that good barrels that consistently shoot < .5 MOA at 100 yards will hold that precision at long range. If you have problems with consistency or accuracy at extended distance, check it again at a shorter range. If it checks out, you may need to revisit your load recipe. In particular, the bullet it uses.

I typically fire two consecutive rounds when truing drops. No need to fire groups, but consistency should be checked. There’s usually enough time to fire two rounds before conditions change that could affect the trajectory. Fire enough rounds at that range to be confident with the correction then find another target to engage. For a good example of this, watch this video.

Conditions on any given day will dictate how much accuracy to expect, but what we’re looking for during trajectory validation are vertical discrepancies. Targets should be suitable for accurate impact calls with enough area to see rounds that don’t hit in the center.  Around here, I like to shoot at granite faces that sprout from our mountains. I try to find one that’s at least 2 MOA square with a precise aiming point. Large steel plates that are painted white would be my second choice.

  1. Take the time to get it right and record your data.

Just like perfecting your zero, take special care to make the first shot count. Long range hunting is typically a one-shot deal, so that first one needs to be right. If the trigger didn’t break cleanly or your sight picture wasn’t perfect, repeat the shot. Learn how to call your shots, and follow through after the recoil to spot the hit. An experienced spotter and/or a video camera to record shots can help a lot with trajectory validation.

I log all shots taken during trajectory validation in a simple data book that stays in my shoot kit. I record environmental conditions, estimated wind call, actual wind correction needed, and elevation correction. If I have to adjust the velocity in the solver to match up with the correction, I note how much and highlight it. It’s been my experience that if I have to adjust more than 10-20 fps, I need to look at my zero or scrutinize my ammunition.

A good friend once told me that you should be so confident in your ability to make a first round hit, that you’ll be genuinely surprised if you miss. Successful trajectory validation should give you complete trust in your ballistic solver to help make that happen.

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As an Idaho native, avid hunter, and long range shooter, Sam has written numerous articles and gear reviews for various online publications. Specializing in long range hunting in the mountains of northern Idaho, Sam founded Panhandle Precision as a way to continue sharing his passions.

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  • Beau Deroy
    February 17, 2017 at 02:58


    Thanks for sharing your knowledge. I’m new to LR shooting/hunting. Just had a 6.5 SAUM built and will be out early next week at the range breaking it in. I have a few questions you might be able to help me out with. 1). When you do TV on any given rifle, do you orientate your shooting North/South to take out the effects of coriolis? 2). How often do you anneal your brass and what do you use to anneal it? 3). How much run out from a loaded round do you consider acceptable and what do you do to correct it if it falls outside of those parameters.

    • Sam
      Sam Millard
      September 1, 2017 at 08:39

      I don’t position myself to offset coriolis. There aren’t enough suitable targets in my area to be able to pass up a good long range range opportunity. I just make sure to carefully enter a compass heading and the correct latitude for the target location.
      I anneal brass after every firing, just before sizing, with a Bench-Source machine. I don’t measure or worry about TIR in my loaded rounds. I check runout while I’m setting up my FL die and adjust to get “0” runout on the sized case.

  • Randy Cullinan
    September 4, 2017 at 13:26

    Your summary about being surprised when you don’t make a first round hit is something I have told numerous people without realizing how real that expectation is and how true it is for anyone serious about long or extreme range. I have been truing for about 40 years or so and it was not because I read a paper on it. I suspect that mine could have been better because I altered the BC more than velocity because I believed in my chronograph. Do you really want to alter the velocity more than BC when you have validated the speed at the muzzle.

    • Sam
      Sam Millard
      September 11, 2017 at 09:07

      I suppose it depends on the bullets you’re using, how fast you’re pushing them, and how accurate the B.C. numbers are on them. I trust my chronographs, too, but have had better luck validating across the entire supersonic trajectory by tweaking the MV a little. I know guys who adjust both, but it seems like they spend more time burning up barrels and components than I do.

  • Hal
    February 11, 2018 at 21:36

    Hi Sam, do you know how to calculate muzzle velocity from a specific distance from the muzzle? Say your chronograph is 10 feet from the muzzle? Thanks.

    • Sam
      Sam Millard
      February 12, 2018 at 08:17

      I would plug in the shortest distance my solver allows and extrapolate a number for whatever distance I want. For instance, AB tells me that my 300WM has a velocity of 2916 fps at 25 yards. With a MV of 2950 fps, that means it loses ~ 34 fps in 75 feet or so. 34/7.5= 4.5 fps in 10 feet.

      • Hal
        February 12, 2018 at 08:51

        I’m not sure that would work since you would have to input a known muzzle velocity (which I don’t have). I thought there might be a formula but I haven’t been able to find one yet. Thanks.

        • Sam
          Sam Millard
          February 12, 2018 at 09:41

          I think you’ll have to know the muzzle velocity and B.C. for a precise number.

  • David Ross
    March 17, 2022 at 13:30

    What if i don’t have the distance to shoot 1000+ yards for validation in the transonic range. Just validate at 700? There is a 1250y range close by but its run poorly they don’t paint the steel or spray a waterline on them either, ever. I have no way to validate the drop factor. You can watch the plate to observe how it swings but I’m after first round hits. What is the best you can recommend. I use a Kestrel 5700 Elite. Is there a way validate at 700 with some way to adjust the BC or MV on the solver to simulate an 1100 yard validation? Many thinks your videos are very informative. David

    • Sam
      Sam Millard
      March 28, 2022 at 05:58

      I wouldn’t change anything based on 700 yard data. If your inputs are spot on, you shouldn’t have big adjustments to make. We check at 400, 600, 800, and 1100 with new lots of bullets, and I can’t remember the last time we adjusted anything, using the G7 from the Kestrel, and MV from the Magnetospeed.Have a good spotter with you, make sure your zero and inputs are perfect, and shoot at something that is small enough to confirm data. Dirt patches on target berms are sometimes better than the targets themselves.

  • David Ross
    March 28, 2022 at 08:59

    Yes sir. So to clarity… I do use accurate inputs on my 5700 elite always check my zero to be perfect and and use a mangospeed to check the MV to make sure the barrel hasn’t sped up or slowed down. I almost exclusively shoot between 400 and 1000 y I rarely but some times will shoot at 1200 in a club match but the common distances are as 400- 1000. So if i do all the above correctly and use factory Hornady ELD Match a 700Y MV validation at my ranch with a steel plate that i paint a waterline on is all I need and should rarely needin to make a MV change.??? Thanks so much for your knowledge. Your videos and articles are so helpful


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